4
Banks Of The Boyne
2yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 78
Listowel · MAC Hardware & Farm Supplies Irish EBF Rated Race · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: BHA79
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA79 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Leopardstown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA80 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | BHA81 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -13.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 30/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 100/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |