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Oklahoma

2yo Colt · 9-12

Listowel · MAC Hardware & Farm Supplies Irish EBF Rated Race · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Wootton Bassett colt out of connections' British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes winner Hydrangea. Promise on first 2 starts but only seventh of 14 in Convivial maiden at the York Ebor meeting (good to soft) 32 days ago. Cheekpieces worn on that occasion are discarded

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 13127/06C8C8 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m20y Gd 13313/07C82 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f GS 13321/082projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21York27th7th0
2026-07-13Killarney?3rd3rd0
2026-06-27Curragh?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0613/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -27.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
13/07/20263rd30/10098%60%-0.38
21/08/20267th13/891%54%-0.38