2
Oristown Boy
2yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 83
Listowel · MAC Hardware & Farm Supplies Irish EBF Rated Race · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA84 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
Delivery trend -14.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |