2
Eddie G
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 79
Listowel · Listowel Arms Hotel Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | BHA80 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA83 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA75 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA73 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA73 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA74 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |
| 20/05/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 31/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |