2
Bay Of Stars
3yo Colt · 9-12 · OR 85
Listowel · Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA83 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | BHA80 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Dundalk | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Dundalk | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 58% | +0.03 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 19% | -0.18 |