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Count Bezukhov

3yo Colt · 10-0 · OR 87

Listowel · Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

64%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed debut promise fitted with a tongue tie when winning 1¼m maiden at the Curragh in May, edging ahead late on. That has worked out well and he ran at least as well in defeat under a penalty at Doncaster 7 weeks later. Longer trip will suit on handicap bow and remains with potential.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 10/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f Gd 13410/05C8C8 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13423/05C82 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f197y GF 1369/072projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Doncaster23rd3rd0
2026-05-23Curragh?1st1st0
2026-05-10Leopardstown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0523/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -18.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14
23/05/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
09/07/20263rd1/195%71%-0.23