3
Huff'n'puff
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 84
Listowel · Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA85 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Navan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -18.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 76% | +0.29 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |