8
Lord Aus
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 73
Listowel · Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA75 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Leopardstown | BHA75 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA63 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | BHA64 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ballinrobe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 22/04/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 31/08/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |