7
Sunrush
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 76
Listowel · Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA70 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | BHA70 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | BHA73 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Tipperary | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 28/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |