11
Gaetan
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Esclargades - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#1
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 03/02/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 17/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 10/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 27/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |