9
Harmonica
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Esclargades - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Hyeres | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeres | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-02 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 07/05/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 08/07/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |
| 23/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |