6
Hatout De Connee
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Esclargades - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Marseille | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Hyeres | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2024 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 14/01/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 21/02/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 04/03/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 01/05/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 07/05/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |