2

Jalapa

7yo Mare · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix Des Esclargades - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/04/2024 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 015/04C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 29/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 28/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f38y 12128/10C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 15/11/2024 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 18/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 018/12C?C0 @ Marseille 28/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 01/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/05C?C0 @ Marseille 04/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 1417 @ Marseille-borely 20/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 020/037projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-20Marseille-borely713th13th0
2026-02-13Marseille60
2026-01-11Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2025-12-04Marseille?9th9th0
2025-06-07Marseille?0
2025-05-01Hyeres?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0415/111/0520/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20243rd12/137%87%+0.50
29/07/20243rd10/147%78%+0.30
28/10/20243rd25/10%71%+0.71
15/11/20245th20/10%64%+0.64
18/12/20249th10/147%33%-0.14
28/03/20252nd25/10%91%+0.91
01/05/20257th16/116%50%+0.34
04/12/20259th40/10%38%+0.38
20/03/202613th100/10%14%+0.14