2

Jalapa
7yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Esclargades - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 7 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Marseille | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-04 | Marseille | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Marseille | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-01 | Hyeres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 29/07/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 28/10/2024 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 15/11/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 18/12/2024 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 28/03/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 01/05/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 04/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/03/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |