4
Jerelda
7yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Esclargades - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#11
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 7 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Feurs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Feurs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2024 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 05/09/2024 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 10/10/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 14/12/2024 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 14/04/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |
| 13/06/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 18/07/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |