1

Nolan D'or

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De Venelles - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Marseille-borely 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 019/0656 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 015/086projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Cagnes-sur-Mer62nd2nd0
2026-07-06Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-06-19Marseille-borely55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20265th20/10%60%+0.60
15/08/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72