16
Nova De Visais
3yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Venelles - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#15
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hyeres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |