11

Maasai

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De Rive Neuve - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#3

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cavaillon 08/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m4f121y Std 08/04C?C0 @ Hyeres 01/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 25/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 025/10C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 14/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 11/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 02 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 08/012C0 @ Lyon La Soie 09/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 09/03C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-09Lyon La Soie?1st1st0
2026-02-12Cagnes-sur-Mer10
2026-01-21Cagnes-sur-Mer10
2026-01-08Cagnes-sur-Mer21st1st0
2025-12-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2025-12-11Marseille?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0414/118/019/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
01/05/20252nd10/1195%83%-0.12
25/10/20252nd12/137%93%+0.56
14/11/20254th10/382%70%-0.12
11/12/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
20/12/20252nd4/179%89%+0.10
08/01/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
09/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12