8

Magellan For Clara

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De Rive Neuve - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille-borely 23/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 023/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 07/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 023/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 16/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 016/0155 @ Marseille 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Lyon La Soie 09/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 09/03C?C0 @ Cavaillon 07/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f121y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 012/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Hyeres?1st1st0
2026-04-07Cavaillon?7th7th0
2026-03-09Lyon La Soie?3rd3rd0
2026-02-13Marseille55th5th0
2026-02-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-01-24Saint Galmier30

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0927/129/0312/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20252nd13/266%93%+0.27
07/10/202511th9/488%23%-0.65
23/12/20253rd18/15%82%+0.77
27/12/20253rd3/184%60%-0.24
16/01/20266th15/261%38%-0.23
13/02/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
09/03/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
07/04/20267th11/142%50%+0.08
12/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21