8

Magellan For Clara
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Rive Neuve - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Hyeres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Cavaillon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Marseille | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-24 | Saint Galmier | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.27 |
| 07/10/2025 | 11th | 9/4 | 88% | 23% | -0.65 |
| 23/12/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |