12
Maitre D'houlbec
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Rive Neuve - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 18/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 78% | +0.73 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |