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Mamba Des Duriez

4yo Filly · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De Rive Neuve - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#12

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Salon-De-Provence 25/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 025/10C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 14/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 11/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 011/12C?5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 16/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 023/0144 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 025/03C?4 @ Salon-De-Provence 21/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 012/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Hyeres?2nd2nd0
2026-05-21Salon-De-Provence46th6th0
2026-04-24Marseille-borely30
2026-03-25Marseille-borely?8th8th0
2026-02-28Cagnes-sur-Mer44th4th0
2026-01-23Cagnes-sur-Mer43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1016/0125/0312/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20259th50/10%43%+0.43
14/11/202510th50/10%10%+0.10
11/12/20258th18/15%36%+0.31
16/01/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
23/01/20263rd50/10%71%+0.71
28/02/20264th50/10%73%+0.73
25/03/20268th40/10%30%+0.30
21/05/20266th66/10%58%+0.58
12/08/20262nd17/255%83%+0.28