13

Midnight Express

4yo Filly · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De Rive Neuve - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 17/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 017/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 19/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 019/021C0 @ Feurs 20/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 020/07C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 01 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 022/081projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Cagnes-sur-Mer14th4th0
2026-08-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2026-07-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2026-05-02Vincennes20
2026-04-20Feurs?4th4th0
2026-02-19Vincennes14th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/103/0120/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20257th4/179%50%-0.29
22/11/20254th28/10%67%+0.67
12/12/20254th8/158%73%+0.15
03/01/20266th17/255%38%-0.18
19/02/20264th50/10%77%+0.77
20/04/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
20/07/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
03/08/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
22/08/20264th3/184%75%-0.09