10
Mistral Lomig
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Rive Neuve - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#10
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Cavaillon | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |