4
L'avenir
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Fontanille - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 24/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/05/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |