10

Lazan De Passieu

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De Fontanille - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#9

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 11/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 03/02C?3 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 013/07C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 019/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2026-08-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-07-13Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2026-03-25Marseille-borely?3rd3rd0
2026-03-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0
2026-02-12Cagnes-sur-Mer32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1212/0213/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
11/01/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
03/02/20265th11/486%56%-0.30
12/02/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
08/03/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
25/03/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
13/07/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51
03/08/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
19/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26