12
Lever Du Joamax
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Fontanille - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/01/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 70% | -0.23 |
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |