1
Lilibeth Smart
5yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Fontanille - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 03/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 56% | -0.37 |