2
Lovely La Chenaie
5yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Fontanille - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 24/11/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 22/05/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 11/07/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 21/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |