6
Leader Des Apres
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Quo Vadis - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 42% | -0.24 |
| 11/08/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 18/12/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 02/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 10/02/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 17/04/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |