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Lucifer

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix Quo Vadis - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#9

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille-borely 17/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 017/10C?C0 @ Marseille 29/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 23/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 13423/11C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 18/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 05 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 08/0154 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 020/025C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Marseille-borely 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 027/085projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Marseille-borely54th4th0
2026-03-07Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0
2026-02-20Cagnes-sur-Mer54th4th0
2026-02-07Cagnes-sur-Mer48th8th0
2026-01-08Cagnes-sur-Mer54th4th0
2025-12-18Cagnes-sur-Mer?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1018/1220/0227/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength48%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/202511th66/10%9%+0.09
29/10/20259th80/10%33%+0.33
23/11/20253rd10/382%78%-0.05
18/12/20259th40/10%53%+0.53
08/01/20264th17/255%70%+0.15
07/02/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
20/02/20264th40/10%75%+0.75
07/03/20267th9/153%40%-0.13
27/08/20264th18/15%75%+0.70