17

Kalie Tejy

6yo Mare · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De L'orne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 020/025C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 05 @ Marseille-borely 20/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 020/0356 @ Marseille-borely 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 05 @ Marseille-borely 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 015/055C0 @ Hyeres 16/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/06C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 030/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Salon-De-Provence?2nd2nd0
2026-07-13Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-06-26Hyeres?4th4th0
2026-06-16Hyeres?5th5th0
2026-05-15Marseille-borely53rd3rd0
2026-04-24Marseille-borely62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0224/0426/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20263rd20/10%82%+0.82
03/03/20264th17/255%40%-0.15
20/03/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
24/04/20262nd17/255%90%+0.35
15/05/20263rd11/271%87%+0.16
16/06/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
26/06/20264th12/137%75%+0.38
13/07/20264th7/163%75%+0.12
30/08/20262nd7/282%89%+0.07