17

Kalie Tejy
6yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'orne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Hyeres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Hyeres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 87% | +0.16 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |