4
Kanelle Du Noyer
6yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'orne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Marseille | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Saint Galmier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-09 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Marseille-borely | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-01 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 9-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2024 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 18/10/2024 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 03/11/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 21/03/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/04/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 23/09/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 29/11/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |