11
King Aulnaies
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'orne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Cherbourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Mauquenchy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Mauquenchy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Lisieux | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |
| 22/02/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 16/03/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 15/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 94% | +0.31 |
| 06/10/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 58% | -0.29 |
| 24/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |