IvyArcIvyArc
18

Kool Cristal

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De L'orne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille-borely 25/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 025/04C?C0 @ Hyeres 28/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 10/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 010/10C?C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 26/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 011/01C?C0 @ Lyon La Soie 19/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 10/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 010/02C?7 @ Marseille-borely 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 06 @ Marseille-borely 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 027/086projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Marseille-borely63rd3rd0
2026-05-07Marseille-borely73rd3rd0
2026-02-10Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2026-01-19Lyon La Soie?5th5th0
2026-01-11Cagnes-sur-Mer?9th9th0
2025-12-04Marseille?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0426/1010/0227/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
28/05/20252nd2/189%90%+0.01
10/10/202510th33/10%18%+0.18
26/10/20258th66/10%53%+0.53
11/01/20269th18/15%33%+0.28
19/01/20265th8/158%67%+0.09
10/02/20262nd8/1196%89%-0.07
07/05/20263rd8/158%78%+0.20
27/08/20263rd9/153%80%+0.27