14
Kool Du Chatelet
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'orne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 8-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 20/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 06/01/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 28/04/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |