4
Jaguar D'hermes
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Bagatelle - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saint Galmier | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Vincennes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 12/10/2024 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 04/11/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 30/11/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 06/12/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |