10

Joy Du Cherisay
7yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Bagatelle - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#14
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cabourg | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-04 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 02/10/2024 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/11/2024 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 04/07/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 04/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/06/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 21% | -0.21 |
| 01/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |