10

Joy Du Cherisay

7yo Mare · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix De Bagatelle - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#14

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 16/04/2024 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 016/04C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 02/10/2024 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 02/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/11C?C0 @ Cabourg 04/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Angers 08/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 08/12C?C0 @ Cabourg 16/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 04/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/01C?C0 @ Caen 22/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 01/09C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Cabourg?11th11th0
2026-06-22Caen?12th12th0
2026-05-22Graignes50
2026-01-04Vincennes?7th7th0
2025-12-16Cabourg?5th5th0
2025-12-08Angers?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/044/074/011/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength3%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20245th12/137%73%+0.36
02/10/202416th66/10%0%0.00
02/11/202410th50/10%31%+0.31
04/07/202510th100/10%31%+0.31
08/12/20254th11/271%75%+0.04
16/12/20255th11/271%67%-0.04
04/01/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
22/06/202612th11/142%21%-0.21
01/09/202611th40/10%17%+0.17