1
Jup And Star
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix De Bagatelle - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Marseille | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 31/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 11/12/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |