12
Girly Victory
10yo Mare · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Quercus Ii - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 23/11/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/12/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 05/01/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 06/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |