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6

Ibiza Evening

8yo Mare · 0-0

Marseille-borely · Prix Quercus Ii - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille-borely 23/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 023/11C?C0 @ Marseille 11/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 06 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 05/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 05/0164 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 04 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/0244 @ Vincennes 28/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 025/03C?C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 04 @ Marseille-borely 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 027/084projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Marseille-borely42nd2nd0
2026-08-09Divonne Les Bains?5th5th0
2026-03-25Marseille-borely?3rd3rd0
2026-02-28Vincennes411th11th0
2026-02-12Cagnes-sur-Mer42nd2nd0
2026-01-23Cagnes-sur-Mer41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1123/0125/0327/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +8.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20259th9/153%27%-0.25
11/12/20254th5/287%73%-0.14
05/01/20266th28/10%62%+0.62
23/01/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
12/02/20262nd20/10%92%+0.92
28/02/202611th17/255%29%-0.27
25/03/20263rd4/179%86%+0.07
09/08/20265th25/10%67%+0.67
27/08/20262nd33/10%92%+0.92