2
Ideal Green
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Quercus Ii - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Marseille | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-31 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Marseille-borely | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 18/04/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 07/05/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 77% | +0.06 |
| 28/05/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 23/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 20/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |