11
Kaporal Visais
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Quercus Ii - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Hyeres | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 64% | -0.26 |
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 03/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |