
Cool Couple
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 84
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |