8

Cool Couple

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 84

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Mahoning Valley 18/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark18/02/2026 · OR 78 par18/02C8OR 78C8 @ Mahoning Valley 25/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m 124 · below its mark25/02/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 75 par13/03C5OR 75C7 @ Mountaineer 29/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 82 · 6f 120 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Mountaineer 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 87 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 87 par13/05C5OR 87C5 @ Mountaineer 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Thistledown 03/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 91 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 91 par3/08C5OR 91C7 @ Mountaineer 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 7f110y 124 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Mountaineer 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 81 · 7f 124 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 81 par14/09C7OR 81projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Mountaineer?4th5th1
2026-08-12Mountaineer?2nd3rd1
2026-08-03Thistledown?6th5th+1
2026-06-10Mountaineer?4th3rd+1
2026-05-13Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-04-29Mountaineer?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0229/043/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/02/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
25/02/20268th6/168%0%-0.68
13/03/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64
29/04/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
13/05/20262nd6/492%75%-0.17
10/06/20264th11/486%57%-0.28
03/08/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
12/08/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
14/09/20264th15/261%50%-0.11