Maxwell Esquire
9yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 79
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-11-04 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 17/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |