7
Offthe Beaten Path
3yo Filly · 8-8
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +14.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |