10
Prettyrunner
4yo Filly · 8-12
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |