IvyArcIvyArc
2

Last Move

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 4f110y 12016/06C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 65 par11/07C6OR 65C6 @ Colonial Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 66 par7/09C6OR 66projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2026-07-11Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-06-16Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0611/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +25.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/06/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11
11/07/20266th9/276%17%-0.60
07/09/20265th16/116%56%+0.40