1
Warrior's Dolly
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 59
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
Delivery trend -17.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |