6
Cousin Ed
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 25/01/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |