1
Hightail Fox
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 03/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 09/07/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |