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3

Boogie Woogie

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 81

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 30/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 71 par30/07C6OR 71C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 75 · 6f 125 · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 75 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 75 par8/09C6OR 75C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 78 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 6f 123 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 78 par22/06C8OR 78C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 78 · 6f 125 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 123 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 84 par29/07C8OR 84C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 6f 123 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 81 par1/09C5OR 81projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?3rd6th−3
2026-07-29Presque Isle Downs?4th7th−3
2026-07-02Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-22Presque Isle Downs?1st4th−3
2025-10-14Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0714/1029/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20252nd9/276%80%+0.04
20/08/20252nd4/696%75%-0.21
08/09/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
14/10/20253rd5/174%60%-0.14
22/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
02/07/20262nd1/195%75%-0.20
29/07/20264th9/488%50%-0.38
18/08/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
01/09/20262nd1/195%80%-0.15